Bretholmes.com - Bret Holmes Baltimore Md

    Investment News   |    DON'T   |    WORK   |    STOP   |    CRYING!   |    GUESTBOOK   |

I Kan't Spell



Monday, September 29, 2008

 
In response to a question about the financial crisis:

    i'm glad you touched on this. i've been very curious as to what your thoughts were on this broken economy, and i am curious as to whether or not you have made changes in your daily life as far as spending goes. i am also curious as whether or not you would consider pulling your stock out of 401K. i actually did, but only because i have a distrust of things i don't control. i also want to know your definition of "bad" when considering the future of the economy, how it will affect the citizens like myself and you, and the worst outcome you could predict happening. should i be stocking up on water? but seriously, address this, even privately if you wish.



Well this is going to be the "projected" transition of hardships.

If the gov't passes this 700B$ communist bill then the US Dollar will go through the floor.

Inflation will then be so bad that our economy may implode on itself. Bread, milk, heat, etc... will become expensive luxuries. If a dem is elected all taxes will be raised. If a pub is elected we will watch the poor suffer but the economy will rebound faster... a dem is not what we need... I don't care if golden parachutes are handed out... what needs to be done is the sick amount of socialist spending that happens rampidly throughout urban areas of America.

Small businesses will be the first to fail. You'll see it in rural areas and with marginal clothing and retail stores. Everyday stores will stay open but... your local bead emporium may take a hit to the sac. This will happen because their economies fluctuate much more these days on providing urban progress and one ripple from a near by city or college and they shit the bed quick. Their margins are less and the savings are close to nil. In good times and bad small businesses popping up and closing down are prime examples of what's going on.

Unemployment will be the first thing you see on the news. When it hits 10% - we will be in meltdown mode. The new figures come out on Friday... we should be at 6% now...any higher then that and XMAS may just be handmade cards. When unemployments goes up hiring stops. So the influx of high-school, military, and college grads looking for jobs piles on, welfare assistance steeps, and without FDR to create the next New Deal... uhh... say hi to you parents' basement and some weed for the next 4 years because you'll be working a shit job if you are lucky.

Unfortunately, Ocotber is the big econ killer in the world. All major crisis' come in October and retailers are now gripping for what will be the worst Xmas spending in 30 years. Why is xmas spending important. Well first it's how business make their nut and what fuels the economy going into ...well...this year a few things A possible calamitous presidency shrouded in "good will" and "we need a fresh face"... god... whoa is me if Obama gets elected. I'd give up my own right to take a piss if it meant I wasn't standing in the breadline with everyone else who voted for the most liberal president since... well... I don't even know. Even Carter was scared shitless of Republicans. So if Oct. sucks, xmas will suck... if xmas sucks... the new year will suck and the next thing you know your local Best Buy is a giant warehouse playground for the new homeless.

After xmas, margin calls will be made on Oil. Currently, companies like Suncor and Chevron are buying oil at 25$ per barrell. They are selling it at 125$ per barrell... if you think Oil companies are willing to give up their margins for the sake of the people - think again. Oil could be at 10$ per gallon and the entire industry could be federalized and then rationed... make sure you work close to where you live. If they federalize oil under the guise of national seecurity (and yep...that'll happen)... America will have taken a giant step forward to what the Bush white house envisioned after 9-11 - total control over everything. *but not really... because Republicans want to give America back to you...*wink *nod *shoot me.

Once that happens and the Gov't steps in to start regulating business then other markets like China, Japan, and Europe will either have to buy up our debt to keep us alive as consumers of their products or face a 30% collapse themselves. If they aren't already f'd themselves. Ireland took a 19% hit yesterday and little leprechauns are jumping out of their cabbage huts into the river hoping to float to Denmark. This is where it gets tricky... Australia is a wildcard and so is SE asia... their new ability to farm, mine, and produce shocking amounts of Natural resources make them alterantive player to the US. If people can find their farms and steel in those places... we will be super f'd. Odds are Asutralia will go hand in hand with us.

Well fast forward through all of this and it's Summer... by now it will have been 5 quarters of recessed economy and the President will be considered a lame duck because no one gets elected in a shit hole economy... see Jimmy Carter's feel good tour of 76'. Dan Rather already has the 174 days of Crisis story on 20/20 or one of those worthless shows and you are wondering why your local Domino's is closed and whether or not you'll be able to drive to work let alone go on vacation.

So now lobbyist start to churn the flame to bring BACK business by lowering taxes any way they know how... unfortunately the human capital in America is ooohhh about middle of the pack when it comes to the rest of the world. While we rock inovation... we sure as shit don't keep it... well anyway...

IMO - it's about time we got our clocks cleaned. Should you save water or whatever... no? Cash out your 401k... i doubt it. If you haven't cahsed in by now... well then you are already f'd... you may as well stay with at the dance with the guy that brought ya...

This is when you need to super worry!!!...If the dollar doesn't becomes decoupled with the oil and gold standards we'll float through on rations and scare tactics. If that happens that means America no longer sets the price for the world's most valuable commodities... that means we might as well be Germany or Argentina in the world's eye and if it weren't for the fact that we could start a war anywhere on Earth including the moon we might even get invaded or some crazy shit... lol - just kidding... sorta...

I also predict another war soon... war fuels our economy and makes us bitch less... so look for one coming to a theatre near you.

How did this happen? The banking system has been wagering in pure greed for the past 5 years. And I'm not talking like a little greed... sick greed.

That is all for now - that wasn't organized... but I hope it helped a little.

The bottom line is that you'll see it in the breadlines. The poor will get poorer the picket signs will come out and people who are retired are fucked beyond belief. If you were living off of dividends... say goodbye to those days and practice this line "Welcome to Wal-Mart".

But as with everything... I'm sure it's not as bad as we think. Lower middle class people will struggle, the poor will die faster, the rich will buy all the shit cheap and wait for it to rebound. The division of class gets wider and you think you are doing ok because you can put gas in your car... but ain't that America!?!


Comments: Post a Comment



Favorites List
Pandora Song List
Amazon Wish List
Reading
Revolutionary Wealth - Tofflers
Brian Jones

Things Making Me Smile
The City
Newness
Listening - [out of 5]
Benjy Ferree - 4.8
The Thermals 3.1
David Gray 3.8

Quote(S)
Like the guy with the beard? YES - like the guy with the beers. What? Yep

Bands That I Check Schedules For
Badly Drawn Boy
Belle and Sebastian
Benjy Ferree
The Black Keys
Deerhoof
Drive By Truckers
The Eels
Enon
Kimya Dawson
Mark Hopkins Band
Oasis
Iron and Wine
Mates of State
Ted Leo
Travis
Two if By Sea
Ween

Places I Rock in the Flesh
9:30 Club
Black Cat
Electric Factory
Fletcher's
8x10
The Knitting Factory
The Otto Bar
Recher Theatre
Sonar

Places I Eat/Drink in the Flesh
Aldo's
Bishop's Collar
Boccacio's
Cross Street Market
Hull Street
Joun Gak
Mick O'Shea's
No Way Jose
Porter's
The Irish Pub
Turner's
The Waterfront Hotel

My Greatest Hits (that's so lame)

The time I almost killed a child
July 4th in Korea
Excerpts from Demian
Why I screen phone calls
Bret's Death Metal Report
A conversation at a cocktail party
A conversation at breakfast
So you think you are a Baltimorian
A conversation about a girl singer
Observations from a bar
Observations of strippers
Tech Language
Why I love Oasis
I would go to war
"You Son of a Bitch" An Open Letter to Tom Friend
Dance to Your Ocean
Dream Ranch
When men become pussies
Jason Whitlock is a racist propaganda promoter
Pitchfork takes music snobbery to new level
The Cosmic Clash of the Red Sox and Cubs
The Hatred that is Runts Candy
Starting corporate line-up
Google Bio
Do you know me? List 1 / List 2 / List 3
The Night I Burned Philly Down
So You Want to be a Booze Hound
She Said it was Free
Funniest Corporate Story Ever
Striped Shirts and the Fucks that Wear Them
Death Peddle
NEW!!!
Pieces of Morning
Oasis Album Revew
The Art of Tipping
Starting Fires With Grass Stains
Bret's Federal Hill Food Review
Sexcapades and your Picture on the Internet
Stupid Secrets
Stupid Secrets the Return


Contact Me

Stuff I Swing By From Time to Time

- MUSIC
Donewaiting.com
hive3.com
Indie Video Archive
Large Hearted Boy
Important Records
Oasis News
Pitch Fork Media
Reptilian Records
Scenestars MP3 Blogs
Sound Garden Baltimore

- BUY
Aloud.com
Pre-Shrunk
Shotgun Apparel
Warrior Clothing

- HUMOR
Angry Little Girls
Atom Films
Eye Envision
Homestar Runner
Kill Frog
Junior Varsity Meat Market

- PERSONAL
Baltimore City Paper
The Baltimore Sun
Calvert Hall
Degroen's Brewers
ESL Cafe
Fantasy Sports
Korean Herald
Villa Julie College Baseball
W3 Schools



Archives
06/01/2003 - 07/01/2003
07/01/2003 - 08/01/2003
08/01/2003 - 09/01/2003
09/01/2003 - 10/01/2003
10/01/2003 - 11/01/2003
11/01/2003 - 12/01/2003
12/01/2003 - 01/01/2004
01/01/2004 - 02/01/2004
04/01/2004 - 05/01/2004
05/01/2004 - 06/01/2004
06/01/2004 - 07/01/2004
07/01/2004 - 08/01/2004
08/01/2004 - 09/01/2004
09/01/2004 - 10/01/2004
10/01/2004 - 11/01/2004
11/01/2004 - 12/01/2004
12/01/2004 - 01/01/2005
01/01/2005 - 02/01/2005
02/01/2005 - 03/01/2005
03/01/2005 - 04/01/2005
04/01/2005 - 05/01/2005
05/01/2005 - 06/01/2005
06/01/2005 - 07/01/2005
07/01/2005 - 08/01/2005
08/01/2005 - 09/01/2005
09/01/2005 - 10/01/2005
10/01/2005 - 11/01/2005
11/01/2005 - 12/01/2005
12/01/2005 - 01/01/2006
01/01/2006 - 02/01/2006
02/01/2006 - 03/01/2006
03/01/2006 - 04/01/2006
04/01/2006 - 05/01/2006
05/01/2006 - 06/01/2006
06/01/2006 - 07/01/2006
07/01/2006 - 08/01/2006
08/01/2006 - 09/01/2006
09/01/2006 - 10/01/2006
10/01/2006 - 11/01/2006
11/01/2006 - 12/01/2006
12/01/2006 - 01/01/2007
01/01/2007 - 02/01/2007
02/01/2007 - 03/01/2007
03/01/2007 - 04/01/2007
04/01/2007 - 05/01/2007
05/01/2007 - 06/01/2007
06/01/2007 - 07/01/2007
07/01/2007 - 08/01/2007
08/01/2007 - 09/01/2007
09/01/2007 - 10/01/2007
10/01/2007 - 11/01/2007
11/01/2007 - 12/01/2007
12/01/2007 - 01/01/2008
01/01/2008 - 02/01/2008
02/01/2008 - 03/01/2008
03/01/2008 - 04/01/2008
04/01/2008 - 05/01/2008
05/01/2008 - 06/01/2008
06/01/2008 - 07/01/2008
07/01/2008 - 08/01/2008
08/01/2008 - 09/01/2008
09/01/2008 - 10/01/2008
10/01/2008 - 11/01/2008
11/01/2008 - 12/01/2008
12/01/2008 - 01/01/2009
01/01/2009 - 02/01/2009
02/01/2009 - 03/01/2009
03/01/2009 - 04/01/2009
04/01/2009 - 05/01/2009
05/01/2009 - 06/01/2009
06/01/2009 - 07/01/2009
07/01/2009 - 08/01/2009
08/01/2009 - 09/01/2009
09/01/2009 - 10/01/2009
10/01/2009 - 11/01/2009
11/01/2009 - 12/01/2009
12/01/2009 - 01/01/2010
01/01/2010 - 02/01/2010
02/01/2010 - 03/01/2010
03/01/2010 - 04/01/2010
04/01/2010 - 05/01/2010
05/01/2010 - 06/01/2010
06/01/2010 - 07/01/2010
07/01/2010 - 08/01/2010
08/01/2010 - 09/01/2010
09/01/2010 - 10/01/2010
10/01/2010 - 11/01/2010
11/01/2010 - 12/01/2010
12/01/2010 - 01/01/2011
01/01/2011 - 02/01/2011
02/01/2011 - 03/01/2011
03/01/2011 - 04/01/2011
04/01/2011 - 05/01/2011
05/01/2011 - 06/01/2011
06/01/2011 - 07/01/2011
12/01/2011 - 01/01/2012
01/01/2012 - 02/01/2012
07/01/2012 - 08/01/2012
08/01/2012 - 09/01/2012
09/01/2012 - 10/01/2012
10/01/2012 - 11/01/2012
11/01/2012 - 12/01/2012
01/01/2013 - 02/01/2013
04/01/2013 - 05/01/2013
06/01/2013 - 07/01/2013
07/01/2013 - 08/01/2013
08/01/2013 - 09/01/2013
09/01/2013 - 10/01/2013
10/01/2013 - 11/01/2013
11/01/2013 - 12/01/2013
12/01/2013 - 01/01/2014
01/01/2014 - 02/01/2014
02/01/2014 - 03/01/2014
03/01/2014 - 04/01/2014
04/01/2014 - 05/01/2014
05/01/2014 - 06/01/2014
06/01/2014 - 07/01/2014
07/01/2014 - 08/01/2014
08/01/2014 - 09/01/2014
10/01/2014 - 11/01/2014
11/01/2014 - 12/01/2014
12/01/2014 - 01/01/2015
01/01/2015 - 02/01/2015
02/01/2015 - 03/01/2015
03/01/2015 - 04/01/2015
04/01/2015 - 05/01/2015
05/01/2015 - 06/01/2015
06/01/2015 - 07/01/2015
07/01/2015 - 08/01/2015
08/01/2015 - 09/01/2015
10/01/2015 - 11/01/2015
11/01/2015 - 12/01/2015
12/01/2015 - 01/01/2016
01/01/2016 - 02/01/2016
03/01/2016 - 04/01/2016
06/01/2016 - 07/01/2016
07/01/2016 - 08/01/2016
08/01/2016 - 09/01/2016
10/01/2016 - 11/01/2016
11/01/2016 - 12/01/2016
02/01/2017 - 03/01/2017
03/01/2017 - 04/01/2017
04/01/2017 - 05/01/2017
05/01/2017 - 06/01/2017
07/01/2017 - 08/01/2017
08/01/2017 - 09/01/2017
10/01/2017 - 11/01/2017
01/01/2018 - 02/01/2018
05/01/2018 - 06/01/2018
07/01/2018 - 08/01/2018
08/01/2018 - 09/01/2018
10/01/2018 - 11/01/2018
11/01/2018 - 12/01/2018
12/01/2018 - 01/01/2019
01/01/2019 - 02/01/2019
02/01/2019 - 03/01/2019
03/01/2019 - 04/01/2019
07/01/2019 - 08/01/2019
08/01/2019 - 09/01/2019
03/01/2020 - 04/01/2020
05/01/2020 - 06/01/2020
09/01/2020 - 10/01/2020
10/01/2020 - 11/01/2020
11/01/2020 - 12/01/2020
12/01/2020 - 01/01/2021
01/01/2021 - 02/01/2021
03/01/2021 - 04/01/2021
04/01/2021 - 05/01/2021
05/01/2021 - 06/01/2021
06/01/2021 - 07/01/2021
07/01/2021 - 08/01/2021
08/01/2021 - 09/01/2021
09/01/2021 - 10/01/2021
10/01/2021 - 11/01/2021
11/01/2021 - 12/01/2021
01/01/2022 - 02/01/2022
03/01/2022 - 04/01/2022
05/01/2022 - 06/01/2022
06/01/2022 - 07/01/2022
07/01/2022 - 08/01/2022
08/01/2022 - 09/01/2022
09/01/2022 - 10/01/2022
11/01/2022 - 12/01/2022
09/01/2023 - 10/01/2023
10/01/2023 - 11/01/2023
11/01/2023 - 12/01/2023
12/01/2023 - 01/01/2024
01/01/2024 - 02/01/2024
02/01/2024 - 03/01/2024
03/01/2024 - 04/01/2024
04/01/2024 - 05/01/2024
05/01/2024 - 06/01/2024
06/01/2024 - 07/01/2024
07/01/2024 - 08/01/2024
08/01/2024 - 09/01/2024
09/01/2024 - 10/01/2024
11/01/2024 - 12/01/2024
12/01/2024 - 01/01/2025